Pennsylvania – update through August 2020

• By: Enno Peters
• Published: Oct 19, 2020

 
 

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This is an older blog post, you will find one on more recent data here

This interactive presentation contains the latest gas (and a little oil) production data, from all 9,802 horizontal wells in Pennsylvania that started producing from 2010 onward, through August.

Total production

Natural gas production came in at about 19.5 Bcf/d in August (after upcoming revisions), almost touching the high in November last year. Only 382 horizontal wells were brought online this year through August, the lowest number in a decade.

Supply Projection dashboard

With only 17-18 rigs drilling horizontal wells here since the end of May (source: Baker Hughes rig count), we project a steady decline in output (see our Supply Projection dashboard), despite record well productivity:

Top operators

In the final tab (“Top operators”), the top 5 natural gas producers in Pennsylvania can be found. They were all at or near record production in August. EQT also restored its output, after curtailing a large portion of its wells in June due to low prices.

Top counties

In this screenshot, taken from our ShaleProfile Analytics service, you can find the top-1o natural gas producing counties in Pennsylvania:

The map on the right side displays the locations of all these wells. Susquehanna County, with an output of over 4.5 Bcf/d, is clearly in the lead. It produces over 10 times more natural gas than the #10 on this list, Sullivan County.

Advanced Insights

The ‘Advanced Insights’ presentation is displayed below:

This “Ultimate Recovery” overview reveals the relationship between gas production rates and cumulative gas production, averaged for all horizontal wells that began production in a particular year.

If you group the wells by quarter, you will see that the wells that came online in the 2nd quarter this year had the best start ever; these 129 wells recovered 1.3 Bcf of natural gas in the first 3 calendar months on production.

Finally

Early next week we will have a post on all covered states in the US.

Production data is subject to revisions.

Sources

For this presentation, I used data gathered from the following sources:

• Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
• FracFocus.org

Brief manual

The above presentations have many interactive features:

• You can click through the blocks on the top to see the slides.
• Each slide has filters that can be set, e.g. to select individual or groups of operators. You can first click “all” to deselect all items.
• You have to click the “apply” button at the bottom to enforce the changes. After that, click anywhere on the presentation.
• Tooltips are shown by just hovering the mouse over parts of the presentation.
• You can move the map around, and zoom in/out.
• By clicking on the legend you can highlight selected items.
• Note that filters have to be set for each tab separately.
• The operator who currently owns the well is designated by “operator (current)”. The operator who operated a well in a past month is designated by “operator (actual)”. This distinction is useful when the ownership of a well changed over time.
• If you have any questions on how to use the interactivity, or how to analyze specific questions, please don’t hesitate to ask.

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Enno Peters

Background in AI, worked on developing Supply Chain Planning & Optimization solutions for Quintiq, setting up its business in China. Focus on company direction and the technical development of ShaleProfile’s platform.