Posts by: Enno Peters
Pennsylvania – update through December 2020
Pennsylvania has been setting natural gas output records every year for over a decade, and 2020 was no exception; a fresh record was recorded in December at 20.6 Bcf/d. This was done despite a decade-low in the number of well completions (561 in 2020, vs. 713 in 2019).Eagle Ford – update through November 2020
Tight oil production in the Eagle Ford came in at just below 1.1 million bo/d in November, a level at which it had hovered for already 4 months. Natural gas output was also near a 6-year low at 5.3 Bcf/d.Permian – update through November 2020
Permian tight oil production rose in November by 1% m-o-m to ~3.8 million bo/d (after upcoming revisions). Natural gas production is with 14.8 Bcf/d close to a record level and the basin is now about 25% gassier than 2 years ago, as fewer wells came online last year(new wells start with a low gas-to-oil ratio). I expect that this trend will continue as the basin continues to age, simply because the gas-to-oil ratio for older wells is even higher (~6 Mcf/bbl after 5 years on average).North Dakota – update through December 2020
Oil production in North Dakota continued its fall to 1.15 million bo/d in December (before revisions). Almost 600 wells were completed in 2020, fewer than half compared with the previous year (1,270) and the lowest number since 2009. This was obviously not sufficient to maintain output and the loss year-over-year was almost 300 thousand bo/d.US – update through October 2020
US tight oil production was basically unchanged in October, at nearly 7.0 million bo/d. Over 500 horizontal wells came online for the month, a higher number than in the preceding 5 months, but far lower than the more than 1,000 wells we saw in a typical month in 2019.Pennsylvania – update through November 2020
Pennsylvanian natural gas production jumped in November (as it often does) and set a new record at almost exactly 20 Bcf/d. The previous high was a year earlier in November 2019 at 19.6 Bcf/d. As is visualized almost half of this output in November was produced from wells that came online in the past 2 years.Eagle Ford – update through October 2020
Tight oil production in the Eagle Ford was unchanged m-o-m at 1.1 million bo/d in October (after upcoming revisions). Compared with December 2019, the basin has lost 300 thousand bo/d. The main reason was that fewer than half the number of wells were completed through October than in the year before (882 vs 1,817).Permian – update through October 2020
Permian tight oil production fell in October by 1% m-o-m to below 3.7 million bo/d (after upcoming revisions). Over 1/3rd fewer wells were completed in the first 10 months of 2020 (~2,800), compared with the same period in 2019 (4,568). Gas production has held up at nearly 15 Bcf/d.North Dakota – update through November 2020
Oil production in North Dakota fell by less than 1% in November at just below 1.18 million bo/d. This was a tad lower than the first peak in December 2014 (1.19 million b/d). Although more than 2,100 wells are still shut-in (up from 1,500 before the pandemic started and down from the 4,300 in May), I don’t expect this number to fall by much anymore, as it hasn’t over the last month. Through November 2020, 551 wells started production, which was less than half compared with the same period in the year before (1,176).US – update through September 2020
US tight oil production was flat m-o-m in September at 7.0 million bo/d (after upcoming revisions, including estimates for Oklahoma). Again some 1,500 horizontal wells that were temporarily shut-in came back online, which helped stem the underlying decline.
Recent Comments